Crypto Market Analysis – February 17, 2026

Market Sentiment: Neutral

The Fear & Greed proxy sits at 57 — neutral territory. No strong sentiment edge either way.

Economic Backdrop

• S&P 500: 6,836
• VIX: 20.6 (elevated but not panic levels)
• Federal Funds Rate: 3.64%
• 10-Year Treasury: 4.09%
• Gold: $3,242/oz
• DXY: 96.88

The macro picture shows a nervous equity market with elevated volatility. Gold pushing to new highs suggests some flight to safety.

Signal Summary

SHIB (Shiba Inu): BUY — 69% confidence
Entry: $0.00000613 | Target: $0.00000705 | Stop: $0.00000582
RSI at 58.0, MACD negative at -0.00. Decent risk/reward setup.

ETH (Ethereum): BUY — 69% confidence
Entry: $2,092 | Target: $2,217 | Stop: $2,050
RSI at 55.8, MACD negative at -3.55. Decent risk/reward setup.

ALGO (Algorand): BUY — 68% confidence
Entry: $0.0960 | Target: $0.1104 | Stop: $0.0912
RSI at 54.5, MACD negative at -0.00. Decent risk/reward setup.

XRP (Ripple): BUY — 68% confidence
Entry: $1.45 | Target: $1.67 | Stop: $1.38
RSI at 53.3, MACD negative at -0.00. Decent risk/reward setup.

ADA (Cardano): BUY — 68% confidence
Entry: $0.2701 | Target: $0.3107 | Stop: $0.2566
RSI at 52.9, MACD negative at -0.00. Decent risk/reward setup.

XMR (Monero): BUY — 66% confidence
Entry: $323.44 | Target: $352.55 | Stop: $313.74
RSI at 48.6, MACD negative at -3.46. Decent risk/reward setup.

BTC (Bitcoin): BUY — 66% confidence
Entry: $70,068 | Target: $74,272 | Stop: $68,667
RSI at 48.6, MACD negative at -192.09. Decent risk/reward setup.

Methodology

These signals come from a multi-factor analysis combining:

1. Relative Strength Index (RSI) — Momentum and overbought/oversold levels
2. MACD — Trend direction and momentum shifts
3. Stochastic Oscillator — Short-term overbought/oversold conditions
4. Williams %R — Momentum confirmation
5. Fear & Greed Proxy — Sentiment overlay for contrarian positioning
6. Volume Analysis — Confirmation of price moves

Each signal includes entry, target, and stop-loss levels calculated from recent volatility. Risk/reward ratios favor trades above 3:1.

DISCLAIMER: THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE

Crypto markets are volatile. Do your own research. Past signals do not guarantee future results. This is paper trading analysis only.

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